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Analysts Project a Merry Xbox Season

December 14th, 2002 (12:00am) - LOS ANGELES (Reuters) - Microsoft Corp. should see its current quarter results lifted by the strong holiday season performance of its Xbox video game console and related game software, an analyst said on Wednesday.

Sanford C. Bernstein analyst Charles Di Bona, in a research note, said Microsoft stood to benefit from higher sales of more profitable game software even as discounts cut into its revenues from sales of the money-losing Xbox console itself.

"Preliminary reports from retailers indicate that game software is moving extremely well this holiday season as discount-driven console sales through the fall have boosted the installed base," Di Bona said.

That extra Xbox-related earnings contribution could range from 1 cent to 4 cents per share even allowing for the possibility that hardware revenues could fall.

"Depending on the performance of console sales, revenues could swing some (plus or minus) $200 million around our base case," he said.

Based on the enhanced earnings, Di Bona raised his per-share estimates for the company to 50 cents from 49 cents for the December quarter and to $2.07 from $2.06 for the fiscal year ending in June.

The average estimates of analysts surveyed by Thomson First Call had been for earnings per share of 46 cents in the current, fiscal second quarter and $1.98 in the fiscal year.

Microsoft recently introduced a bundle that includes two games with the Xbox for the same $199 price that the console had sold for on its own previously, a move characterized by many analysts as an effective price cut.

That bundle, analysts have said, has improved overall hardware sales for Microsoft, though the company actually loses money on each Xbox sold -- up to $150 a unit, by some estimates.

Microsoft, like other companies that make game machines, counts on sales of game software, which have healthier margins, to boost its bottom line and make its games division profitable.

The company said last week it would pour more money into its games business to make it successful rather than cutting its losses and pulling out. The company’s home entertainment division, which includes the Xbox, lost $177 million in the last quarter.

Reported by Kyle Johnson on December 14th, 2002 (12:00am) [From: TeamXbox.com]

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